Hydropower sector performed worst in 2075, investors lost 24%; More than 4K crore disappears in 2075 in NEPSE; A year review of 2075

  • -Krishna Khatiwada/ShareSansar
Fri, Apr 12, 2019 7:12 PM on Exclusive, Featured, Recommended, SS Pro, Stock Market, Weekly Analysis,

A complete Market Review of 2075.

The market in the year 2075 opened at 1277.55 points and closed at 1184.02 points and has lost 93.53 points (7.32%).

This year market hit the high of 1461 points on the 10th Baisakh 2075 and the year low of 1098 on 21st Chaitra 2075. The difference between the high and low is 363 points.

A market was awfully positive at the beginning of 2075 as the NEPSE index had gain 184 points in just 6 trading days. A gain of 14.40% was achieved in between 2ndBaisakh to 10thBaisakh 2075.

Every year market looks positive during the Chaitra end and Baisakh beginning. This year as well market is following this pattern, so we can expect a market to gain some quick points next week. 

Market Trend of the year 2075:

Candlestick chart of the weekly time period is shown below.

The index has made the lower lows during this period and not even a single upward movement crossed the previous highest point. This movement of NEPSE index specifies the bearish trend.

This year, we often observed an upward movement of short time-period whereas the downward movement persists for a comparatively longer period of time.

Comparing to the year 2073 and 2074 market seems less volatile this year.  Low volatility period after the strong trend inkling the weakness of the current trend.

Yearly Market Summary of NEPSE

In the year 2075, a share of worth Rs 91 Arba was traded through 12 lakhs transactions. The total number of traded shares stands at 29.56 crores.

Financials

Total Value

Total Turnover (Rs.)

91,118,798,972.00

Total Traded Shares

295,660,577.00

Total No. of Transactions

1,209,292.00

Scrips Traded

176

Market Cap at (2018-04-13) (In Millions)

1,500,845.73

Market Cap at (2019-04-12) (In Millions)

1,462,507.74

Floated Market Cap at (2018-04-13) (In Millions)

505,900.21

Floated Market Cap at (2019-04-12) (In Millions)

514,021.46

The Market Capitalization of NEPSE has decreased to Rs 145,250.77 crores from Rs 150,084.57 crore. Around Rs 4,833.8 Crore has been evaporated from the market in this period.

 The statistics of NEPSE in the Year 2075

Statistics

Total Turnover (Rs.)

Total Traded Shares (Rs.)

Total Transactions

Scrips Traded

Market Cap (In crore)

Floated Market Cap (In crore)

Total Traded Days

243

243

243

243

243

243

Mean

374974481.4

1216710.19

4976.51

161.46

144338.63

49653.19

Standard Deviation

242969386.5

841319.14

2102.46

9.08

6664.72

2056.28

Minimum

33532218

117598

574

96

133379.87

46222.67

Median

315451014

991730

4530

163

142560.23

49244.63

Maximum

2166506465

8095072

15747

176

168679.07

57127.28

There was a total of 243 trading days this year. The average turnover amount stands at Rs 37.49 crores. As the mean median are comparable, we can say that the turnover is uniformly distributed on both sides of the median.

The turnover of NEPSE was highest on the 14th February 2019 where around Rs 2.16 arba worth of shares was traded.

The turnover of NEPSE was minimum on the 06th November 2019 where around Rs 3.35 crore worth of shares were traded.

There was a decent variation in the Turnover amount in the year 2075.

Months Wise Break Down of the total Turnover:

Around 36% of the total turnover came from the Months of Baisakh, Poush, and Ashwin.

The month where the turnover was highest was Baisakh were a number of Rs 12.33 arba worth of Shares were traded. The list below shows the table for the same.

Months

Total Traded Shares (Rs.)

Total Transactions

Total Turnover (Rs.)

Baisakh

27,061,145.00

140,847.00

12,334,893,796.00

Jestha

20,027,929.00

103,893.00

8,459,722,084.00

Ashad

19,644,906.00

83,561.00

5,801,841,188.00

Shrawan

19,366,381.00

82,473.00

5,545,302,581.00

Bhadra

27,905,681.00

94,610.00

7,873,092,190.00

Ashwin

42,736,566.00

119,927.00

10,516,023,607.00

Kartik

15,386,789.00

58,540.00

3,899,530,374.00

Mangsir

22,960,253.00

81,802.00

7,104,642,900.00

Poush

31,525,713.00

115,703.00

10,464,565,678.00

Magh

21,769,230.00

135,602.00

6,555,070,217.00

Fagun

25,429,747.00

100,813.00

7,119,501,233.00

Chaitra

28,639,062.00

118,566.00

7,664,141,021.00

 

Month-wise breakdown of the total traded shares in the year 2075:

 

 More than 14.1% of the total traded shares were traded in the months of Ashwin.

Sector-wise Breakdown:

The pie chart below shows the distribution of turnover among the different sectors.

Sector

Turnover

Total Traded Shares

Total Transaction

Banking

40,566,256,814.00

140,896,848.00

463,048.00

Dev Bank

4,462,968,004.00

23,713,726.00

88,677.00

Finance

799,778,589.00

7,899,034.00

18,771.00

Hydropower

5,381,831,484.00

20,741,040.00

212,493.00

Life Insurance

6,985,254,554.00

8,395,817.00

71,778.00

Microfinance

10,588,839,602.00

11,223,001.00

188,563.00

Non-Life Insurance

7,521,753,674.00

9,936,056.00

80,530.00

Remaining

14,812,116,251.00

72,855,055.00

85,432.00

Around 45% of total traded amount belongs to the commercial banks sector for the year 2075. Remaining sector here represents all those sectors which are not mentioned in the table.

The Indices and sub-indices Review:

The price and percentage change of the indices for the year 2075 is given below

Index

12-Apr-18

11-Apr-19

Points Change

% Change

NEPSE

1,277.55

1,184.02

-93.53

-7.32

Sensitive

272.45

253.64

-18.81

-6.90

Float

92.12

86.91

-5.21

-5.65

Sensitive Float

82.83

80.38

-2.45

-2.95

Banking Sub

1,134.04

1,052.12

-81.92

-7.22

Development Bank

1,492.18

1,479.70

-12.48

-0.83

Finance

648.6

618.12

-30.48

-4.69

Hotels

1,859.99

1,729.52

-130.47

-7.01

Hydropower

1,511.87

1,138.74

-373.13

-24.68

Insurance

6,161.08

-

   

Manufacturing And Processing

2,264.28

1,981.75

-282.53

-12.47

Microfinance

1,477.84

1,395.16

-82.68

-5.59

Others

713.69

705.7

-7.99

-1.11

Life Insurance

-

5,991.53

   

Non-Life Insurance

-

5,435.73

   

 

The worst sector in 2075 for the investor is the Hydro Power sector, it has lost 24% in 243 trading days. The lost is more than 300% then the NEPSE index.

The 2nd worst sector for an investor is the Manufacturing and Processing sector, the sub-index has lost 12% in 2075.

The best sector for an investor in 2075 is development bank sector. This sector has lost only 0.8% in 2075, the NEPSE index has lost more than 800% compared to the Development Bank sector.

The date and the points change when the respective indices gained maximum percentage in 2075. 

Date

Index

Index Value

Absolute Change

Percentage Change

2018-04-18

Development Bank Index

1611.14

65.34

4.23

2018-04-22

NEPSE Index

1438.49

50.18

3.61

2018-04-22

Banking Sub Index

1244.98

39.31

3.26

2018-04-17

Microfinance Index

1681.8

120.11

7.69

2018-04-22

Finance Index

709.63

23.14

3.37

2018-05-28

Hotels Index

2026.32

101.11

5.25

2018-04-18

Hydropower Index

1,664.32

107.73

6.92

2018-12-26

Life Insurance

6,137.23

443.50

7.79

2018-09-03

Manufacturing And Processing

2,250.05

93.20

4.32

2018-12-23

Non-Life Insurance

5,644.60

318.02

5.97

2018-04-19

Others Index

777.23

29.66

3.97

The date and the points change when the respective indices lost maximum percentage in 2075.

Date

Index

Index Value

Absolute Change

Percentage Change

2018-12-05

Development Bank Index

1407.52

-63.64

-4.33

2018-06-03

NEPSE Index

1273.95

-33.71

-2.58

2018-06-03

Banking Sub Index

1080.19

-26.04

-2.35

2018-06-03

Microfinance Index

1702

-55.07

-3.13

2018-04-26

Finance Index

673.48

-11.61

-1.69

2018-07-11

Hotels Index

1811.42

-86.42

-4.55

2019-01-21

Hydropower Index

1,237.04

-56.04

-4.33

2018-08-12

Life Insurance

5,578.03

-193.37

-3.35

2018-12-05

Non-Life Insurance

4,913.07

-190.18

-3.73

2018-12-30

Others Index

739.17

-33.44

-4.33


Please note that: The stock with the highest increment/decrement in the price may not mean the top gainer/top loser for the year 2075 as we have not considered the dividend distribution.

Top Company whose price has increased the most in 2075:

Aarambha Microfinance Bittiya Sanstha Limited (AMFI) price has increased from Rs 300 to Rs 636 and the change in Price was 112%.

Symbol

Initial Price (Rs.)

Closing Price (Rs.)

 Change (Rs.)

Change (%)

AMFI

300

636

336

112

STC

246

501

255

103.66

SMATA

619

1,200.00

581

93.86

UMB

612

1,121.00

509

83.17

SMB

376

590

214

56.91

SRS

124

194

70

56.45

NLICLP

695

1,070.00

375

53.96

NICA

323

469

146

45.2

NICAP

175

250

75

42.86

HDL

1,040.00

1,350.00

310

29.81

Salt Trading Corporation Limited (STC) is a second company with the highest price change of 103%.

Top Company whose price has decreased the most in 2075:

Naya Nepal Laghubitta Bikas Bank Limited (NNLB) price has decreased the most. NNLB opened with Rs 1,895 and closed at Rs 424 with the decrement of Rs 1,471 (-77.55%) in the period of 1 year. The NNLB has provided a huge right share for its shareholders in the year 2075.

Symbol

Initial Price (Rs.)

Closing Price (Rs.)

 Change (Rs.)

 Change (%)

NNLB

1,895.00

424

-1,471.00

-77.63

CBBLPO

490

110

-380

-77.55

EBLPO

1,045.00

265

-780

-74.64

NBBLPO

1,300.00

370

-930

-71.54

NBBL

2,120.00

608

-1,512.00

-71.32

RRHP

266

92

-174

-65.41

MMFDB

2,450.00

906

-1,544.00

-63.02

SLBBL

1,350.00

501

-849

-62.89

SLBBLP

675.00

267

-408

-60.44

MLBBL

1,100.00

485

-615

-55.91

The CCBLPO’s stock price has decreased by 77.55% in the year 2075.

Top Stocks by Turnover:

Nepal Bank Limited (NBL) was the top traded company of 2075. More than Rs 4.65 arba worth of NBL shares were traded in 2075.  The amount is more than 5% of the total turnover.

Symbol

Initial Price (Rs.)

Closing Price (Rs.)

Change (Rs.)

Change (%)

Turnover (Rs.)

NBL

321

297

-24

-7.48

4,656,629,901

NMB

445

356

-89

-20

3,275,902,809

NLIC

1,155.00

1,095.00

-60

-5.19

2,746,043,279

NICA

323

469

146

45.2

2,631,458,498

PRVU

220

249

29

13.18

2,394,248,440

NIB

667

549

-118

-17.69

2,076,895,928

EBLPO

1,045.00

265

-780

-74.64

1,917,639,392

NCCB

255

226

-29

-11.37

1,759,972,947

KBL

250

259

9

3.6

1,739,658,761

GBIME

311

271

-40

-12.86

1,676,741,765

NMB Bank is the 2nd Most traded company of the year. More than Rs 3 arba worth of NMB banks shares were traded in 2075. All the top ten traded company in the year 2075 are from the commercial bank sector.

Top traded company of the respective sector is shown below:

Symbol

Sector

Initial Price (Rs.)

Closing Price (Rs.)

Change (Rs.)

Change (%)

Turnover (Rs.)

NBL

Commercial Bank

321

297

-24

-7.48

4,656,629,901

MNBBL

Development Bank

396

358

-38

-9.6

690,059,077

ICFC

Finance

183

153

-30

-16.39

90,073,973

SHL

Hotel

249

206

-43

-17.27

380,356,114

UPPER

Hydropower

0

232

232

0

1,140,940,401

NLIC

Life Insurance

1,155.00

1,095.00

-60

-5.19

2,746,043,279

SHIVM

Manufacturing

0

306

306

0

170,338,497

CBBL

Microfinance

900

903

3

0.33

1,129,394,970

NMBSF1

Mutual Funds

12.72

10.5

-2.22

-17.45

70,905,423

PIC

Non-Life Insurance

1,014.00

1,008.00

-6

-0.59

1,103,246,246

CIT

Others

2,500.00

2,557.00

57

2.28

1,322,507,018

BBC

Trading

1,850.00

1,633.00

-217

-11.73

37,574,815

EBLPO

Promoter

1,045.00

265

-780

-74.64

1,917,639,392